SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, priced at $135 per share for a $1.75 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise, anchors trader sentiment toward a moderate first-day pop. Strong institutional demand during the June roadshow, combined with the company’s rapid private-market valuation climb from $1.25 trillion in February after the xAI merger, supports implied odds of 49.5% for a $150–$200 closing price. This range reflects typical IPO underpricing dynamics and growth expectations in Starlink and launch services, while the 30% probability on $100–$150 captures the risk of limited upside from the $135 reference. Broader equity market conditions and any final pricing adjustments remain key swing factors ahead of trading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 12%
250$+ 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 giu 2026
<100$
2%
$100-$150
30%
$150-$200
50%
$200-$250
12%
250$+
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
1%
$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 12%
250$+ 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 giu 2026
<100$
$244 Vol.
2%
$100-$150
$390 Vol.
30%
$150-$200
$68 Vol.
50%
$200-$250
$12 Vol.
12%
250$+
$25 Vol.
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$635 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, priced at $135 per share for a $1.75 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise, anchors trader sentiment toward a moderate first-day pop. Strong institutional demand during the June roadshow, combined with the company’s rapid private-market valuation climb from $1.25 trillion in February after the xAI merger, supports implied odds of 49.5% for a $150–$200 closing price. This range reflects typical IPO underpricing dynamics and growth expectations in Starlink and launch services, while the 30% probability on $100–$150 captures the risk of limited upside from the $135 reference. Broader equity market conditions and any final pricing adjustments remain key swing factors ahead of trading.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,226Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, priced at $135 per share for a $1.75 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise, anchors trader sentiment toward a moderate first-day pop. Strong institutional demand during the June roadshow, combined with the company’s rapid private-market valuation climb from $1.25 trillion in February after the xAI merger, supports implied odds of 49.5% for a $150–$200 closing price. This range reflects typical IPO underpricing dynamics and growth expectations in Starlink and launch services, while the 30% probability on $100–$150 captures the risk of limited upside from the $135 reference. Broader equity market conditions and any final pricing adjustments remain key swing factors ahead of trading.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,226Data di fine
13 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s upcoming Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12, priced at $135 per share for a $1.75 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise, anchors trader sentiment toward a moderate first-day pop. Strong institutional demand during the June roadshow, combined with the company’s rapid private-market valuation climb from $1.25 trillion in February after the xAI merger, supports implied odds of 49.5% for a $150–$200 closing price. This range reflects typical IPO underpricing dynamics and growth expectations in Starlink and launch services, while the 30% probability on $100–$150 captures the risk of limited upside from the $135 reference. Broader equity market conditions and any final pricing adjustments remain key swing factors ahead of trading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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