Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal elections, his unopposed primary win on August 6, and the limited competitiveness of Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who secured her party's nod in the same primary cycle. Traders' strong consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a shift. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include a significant national political realignment favoring Democrats, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue involving the incumbent, or substantially higher-than-expected turnout among opposition voters in key urban areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
96%
Democratico
2%
$24,670 Vol.
$24,670 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Democratico
$9,864 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal elections, his unopposed primary win on August 6, and the limited competitiveness of Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who secured her party's nod in the same primary cycle. Traders' strong consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a shift. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include a significant national political realignment favoring Democrats, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue involving the incumbent, or substantially higher-than-expected turnout among opposition voters in key urban areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,670Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal elections, his unopposed primary win on August 6, and the limited competitiveness of Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who secured her party's nod in the same primary cycle. Traders' strong consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a shift. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include a significant national political realignment favoring Democrats, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue involving the incumbent, or substantially higher-than-expected turnout among opposition voters in key urban areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,670Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal elections, his unopposed primary win on August 6, and the limited competitiveness of Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, who secured her party's nod in the same primary cycle. Traders' strong consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a shift. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger. Factors that could still alter the trajectory include a significant national political realignment favoring Democrats, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue involving the incumbent, or substantially higher-than-expected turnout among opposition voters in key urban areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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