Tesla (TSLA) shares closed May 12 at $433.45, down 2.7% from $445.08, as trader sentiment weighed news of Elon Musk joining Trump on a China visit amid tariff fears and robotaxi rollout snags in Austin, per recent headlines. Polymarket traders reflect strong consensus with 95% implied probability for TSLA closing above $430 on May 13, 73% above $440, backed by real capital and pricing in rebound potential from key support levels. This follows Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates—adjusted EPS $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, automotive gross margins at 21.1%—fueling the AI/robotics narrative despite 2026 capex guidance rising to $25 billion for FSD, Optimus, and Cybercab. No specific catalysts loom tomorrow, but Nasdaq session volatility and macro risk appetite could sway the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$8,521 Vol.
13 mag 2026
430$
Sì
440$
Sì
450 $
No
460$
No
$470
No
$8,521 Vol.
430$
$966 Vol.
Sì
440$
$729 Vol.
Sì
450 $
$3,036 Vol.
No
460$
$3,227 Vol.
No
$470
$563 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares closed May 12 at $433.45, down 2.7% from $445.08, as trader sentiment weighed news of Elon Musk joining Trump on a China visit amid tariff fears and robotaxi rollout snags in Austin, per recent headlines. Polymarket traders reflect strong consensus with 95% implied probability for TSLA closing above $430 on May 13, 73% above $440, backed by real capital and pricing in rebound potential from key support levels. This follows Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates—adjusted EPS $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, automotive gross margins at 21.1%—fueling the AI/robotics narrative despite 2026 capex guidance rising to $25 billion for FSD, Optimus, and Cybercab. No specific catalysts loom tomorrow, but Nasdaq session volatility and macro risk appetite could sway the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$8,521Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares closed May 12 at $433.45, down 2.7% from $445.08, as trader sentiment weighed news of Elon Musk joining Trump on a China visit amid tariff fears and robotaxi rollout snags in Austin, per recent headlines. Polymarket traders reflect strong consensus with 95% implied probability for TSLA closing above $430 on May 13, 73% above $440, backed by real capital and pricing in rebound potential from key support levels. This follows Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates—adjusted EPS $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, automotive gross margins at 21.1%—fueling the AI/robotics narrative despite 2026 capex guidance rising to $25 billion for FSD, Optimus, and Cybercab. No specific catalysts loom tomorrow, but Nasdaq session volatility and macro risk appetite could sway the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$8,521Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Tesla (TSLA) shares closed May 12 at $433.45, down 2.7% from $445.08, as trader sentiment weighed news of Elon Musk joining Trump on a China visit amid tariff fears and robotaxi rollout snags in Austin, per recent headlines. Polymarket traders reflect strong consensus with 95% implied probability for TSLA closing above $430 on May 13, 73% above $440, backed by real capital and pricing in rebound potential from key support levels. This follows Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates—adjusted EPS $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, automotive gross margins at 21.1%—fueling the AI/robotics narrative despite 2026 capex guidance rising to $25 billion for FSD, Optimus, and Cybercab. No specific catalysts loom tomorrow, but Nasdaq session volatility and macro risk appetite could sway the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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