Tesla's share price near $364 reflects a narrow market-implied distribution centered on the $355–$370 range, driven primarily by mixed signals around robotaxi progress amid NHTSA regulatory scrutiny with a September 30 response deadline and Goldman Sachs trimming its Q3 delivery forecast to 435,000 units. Elevated valuation multiples—trading above 300 times trailing earnings—amplify sensitivity to free-cash-flow pressures from ramping Optimus and Cybercab capex, while a new California Megacharging partnership and Texas solar-factory tax incentives provide modest offsets. With Q3 earnings due October 28 and recent weekly volatility exceeding 5 percent, trader consensus embeds uncertainty over near-term catalysts versus broader sector rotation and monetary-policy backdrop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$360-$365 13%
$365-$370 13%
$355-$360 12%
$340-$345 11%
Meno di 340$
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
8%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
12%
$360-$365
13%
$365-$370
13%
$370-$375
11%
$375-$380
9%
$380-$385
7%
>385$
11%
$360-$365 13%
$365-$370 13%
$355-$360 12%
$340-$345 11%
Meno di 340$
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
8%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
12%
$360-$365
13%
$365-$370
13%
$370-$375
11%
$375-$380
9%
$380-$385
7%
>385$
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's share price near $364 reflects a narrow market-implied distribution centered on the $355–$370 range, driven primarily by mixed signals around robotaxi progress amid NHTSA regulatory scrutiny with a September 30 response deadline and Goldman Sachs trimming its Q3 delivery forecast to 435,000 units. Elevated valuation multiples—trading above 300 times trailing earnings—amplify sensitivity to free-cash-flow pressures from ramping Optimus and Cybercab capex, while a new California Megacharging partnership and Texas solar-factory tax incentives provide modest offsets. With Q3 earnings due October 28 and recent weekly volatility exceeding 5 percent, trader consensus embeds uncertainty over near-term catalysts versus broader sector rotation and monetary-policy backdrop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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