President Erdogan and the ruling AKP have renewed calls for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing draft proposals for review in mid-May 2026. These steps remain at the preparatory stage and have not advanced to formal parliamentary debate or voting. Passage would require either a qualified majority in the legislature or a referendum amid fragmented opposition and competing legislative priorities, including economic reforms and security measures. Historical patterns show similar initiatives stalling without broad cross-party consensus, keeping the implied probability that meaningful progress will occur this year below one-quarter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 dic 2026
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31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdogan and the ruling AKP have renewed calls for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing draft proposals for review in mid-May 2026. These steps remain at the preparatory stage and have not advanced to formal parliamentary debate or voting. Passage would require either a qualified majority in the legislature or a referendum amid fragmented opposition and competing legislative priorities, including economic reforms and security measures. Historical patterns show similar initiatives stalling without broad cross-party consensus, keeping the implied probability that meaningful progress will occur this year below one-quarter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,631Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdogan and the ruling AKP have renewed calls for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing draft proposals for review in mid-May 2026. These steps remain at the preparatory stage and have not advanced to formal parliamentary debate or voting. Passage would require either a qualified majority in the legislature or a referendum amid fragmented opposition and competing legislative priorities, including economic reforms and security measures. Historical patterns show similar initiatives stalling without broad cross-party consensus, keeping the implied probability that meaningful progress will occur this year below one-quarter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,631Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Erdogan and the ruling AKP have renewed calls for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, with a party commission preparing draft proposals for review in mid-May 2026. These steps remain at the preparatory stage and have not advanced to formal parliamentary debate or voting. Passage would require either a qualified majority in the legislature or a referendum amid fragmented opposition and competing legislative priorities, including economic reforms and security measures. Historical patterns show similar initiatives stalling without broad cross-party consensus, keeping the implied probability that meaningful progress will occur this year below one-quarter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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