Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two distinct measures that highlight competing priorities in direct democracy. The leading item is a popular initiative from the Swiss People’s Party to amend the constitution and cap permanent resident population at 10 million before 2050, triggering immigration restrictions and renegotiation of the EU free-movement accord once the 9.5-million threshold is approached. Government officials oppose the measure, citing risks to labor markets and bilateral ties with Switzerland’s largest trading partner, while recent GfS Bern polling shows a near-even split in public support. The second item is an optional referendum on amendments to the Civilian Service Act that would tighten eligibility rules for alternative service and reduce transfers from compulsory military duty. These outcomes will be resolved separately under Switzerland’s dual-majority requirements for constitutional changes and simple-majority rules for legislative referendums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoReferendum di giugno in Svizzera: cosa passerà?
$103,391 Vol.
Legge sul Servizio Civile
76%
No alla Svizzera da dieci milioni
35%
$103,391 Vol.
Legge sul Servizio Civile
76%
No alla Svizzera da dieci milioni
35%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two distinct measures that highlight competing priorities in direct democracy. The leading item is a popular initiative from the Swiss People’s Party to amend the constitution and cap permanent resident population at 10 million before 2050, triggering immigration restrictions and renegotiation of the EU free-movement accord once the 9.5-million threshold is approached. Government officials oppose the measure, citing risks to labor markets and bilateral ties with Switzerland’s largest trading partner, while recent GfS Bern polling shows a near-even split in public support. The second item is an optional referendum on amendments to the Civilian Service Act that would tighten eligibility rules for alternative service and reduce transfers from compulsory military duty. These outcomes will be resolved separately under Switzerland’s dual-majority requirements for constitutional changes and simple-majority rules for legislative referendums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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