Michigan voters will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under the automatic 16-year cycle provision in the current 1963 document. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 95.5% reflects historical patterns, with prior ballots in 1978, 1994, and 2010 rejected by margins of 67–77 percent against. Recent reporting shows minimal organized support for a “yes” vote, limited Republican legislative interest, and early opposition from education and other groups concerned about potential shifts on redistricting, term limits, and fiscal policy. No major polling or campaign developments have emerged to challenge this baseline preference for retaining the existing framework. Realistic scenarios that could still move the outcome include late-cycle grassroots mobilization, unexpected high-profile endorsements, or turnout shifts tied to the broader midterm ballot, though these remain low-probability factors given the consistent voter record.