West Virginia's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid R or Safe R ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the Republican nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a low-profile primary, faces structural barriers in a district that favors Republican candidates on electoral math and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though none have emerged to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWV-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WV-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$91,983 Vol.
$91,983 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
95%
Partito Democratico
2%
$91,983 Vol.
$91,983 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$63,792 Vol.
95%
Partito Democratico
$28,191 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid R or Safe R ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the Republican nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a low-profile primary, faces structural barriers in a district that favors Republican candidates on electoral math and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though none have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$91,983Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid R or Safe R ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the Republican nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a low-profile primary, faces structural barriers in a district that favors Republican candidates on electoral math and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though none have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$91,983Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...West Virginia's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid R or Safe R ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the Republican nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who prevailed in a low-profile primary, faces structural barriers in a district that favors Republican candidates on electoral math and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a 95 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though none have emerged to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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