Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic tilt in statewide contests, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and her clear path after primary challengers withdrew have anchored this positioning. Recent Siena polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman 49 percent to 39 percent, consistent with broader aggregates around a 10-point margin. Tighter surveys from July highlighted some narrowing, but no sustained momentum shift has emerged. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major economic downturn, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout that boosts down-ballot performance. The general election remains scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di New York
$94,564 Vol.
$94,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
94%
Repubblicano
6%
$94,564 Vol.
$94,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$45,515 Vol.
94%
Repubblicano
$49,050 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic tilt in statewide contests, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and her clear path after primary challengers withdrew have anchored this positioning. Recent Siena polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman 49 percent to 39 percent, consistent with broader aggregates around a 10-point margin. Tighter surveys from July highlighted some narrowing, but no sustained momentum shift has emerged. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major economic downturn, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout that boosts down-ballot performance. The general election remains scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$94,564Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic tilt in statewide contests, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and her clear path after primary challengers withdrew have anchored this positioning. Recent Siena polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman 49 percent to 39 percent, consistent with broader aggregates around a 10-point margin. Tighter surveys from July highlighted some narrowing, but no sustained momentum shift has emerged. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major economic downturn, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout that boosts down-ballot performance. The general election remains scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$94,564Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 93 percent. New York’s consistent Democratic tilt in statewide contests, Hochul’s incumbency advantages, and her clear path after primary challengers withdrew have anchored this positioning. Recent Siena polling from early August shows her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman 49 percent to 39 percent, consistent with broader aggregates around a 10-point margin. Tighter surveys from July highlighted some narrowing, but no sustained momentum shift has emerged. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major economic downturn, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout that boosts down-ballot performance. The general election remains scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti