**Missouri Amendment 3, a legislatively referred measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom and impose strict limits on abortion while embedding prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors.** Recent polling, including an August 2026 SLU/YouGov survey of likely voters, shows the measure nearly tied at 43% support and 44% opposition with 13% undecided, reflecting a closely contested environment. A June 2026 Jackson County circuit court ruling struck down numerous prior restrictions, restoring medication abortion access for the first time in years under the existing constitutional framework and highlighting ongoing legal pushback against limits. The transgender care provisions largely codify existing statutes already upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, with limited exceptions and a 2027 sunset on certain elements. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent voter rejection of a near-total ban, the narrow polling margin, and the bundling of issues as factors reducing passage odds in this referendum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato23% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
23% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3, a legislatively referred measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom and impose strict limits on abortion while embedding prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors.** Recent polling, including an August 2026 SLU/YouGov survey of likely voters, shows the measure nearly tied at 43% support and 44% opposition with 13% undecided, reflecting a closely contested environment. A June 2026 Jackson County circuit court ruling struck down numerous prior restrictions, restoring medication abortion access for the first time in years under the existing constitutional framework and highlighting ongoing legal pushback against limits. The transgender care provisions largely codify existing statutes already upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, with limited exceptions and a 2027 sunset on certain elements. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent voter rejection of a near-total ban, the narrow polling margin, and the bundling of issues as factors reducing passage odds in this referendum.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Mercato aperto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$2,111Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3, a legislatively referred measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom and impose strict limits on abortion while embedding prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors.** Recent polling, including an August 2026 SLU/YouGov survey of likely voters, shows the measure nearly tied at 43% support and 44% opposition with 13% undecided, reflecting a closely contested environment. A June 2026 Jackson County circuit court ruling struck down numerous prior restrictions, restoring medication abortion access for the first time in years under the existing constitutional framework and highlighting ongoing legal pushback against limits. The transgender care provisions largely codify existing statutes already upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, with limited exceptions and a 2027 sunset on certain elements. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent voter rejection of a near-total ban, the narrow polling margin, and the bundling of issues as factors reducing passage odds in this referendum.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$2,111Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Missouri Amendment 3, a legislatively referred measure on the November 3, 2026 ballot, seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom and impose strict limits on abortion while embedding prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors.** Recent polling, including an August 2026 SLU/YouGov survey of likely voters, shows the measure nearly tied at 43% support and 44% opposition with 13% undecided, reflecting a closely contested environment. A June 2026 Jackson County circuit court ruling struck down numerous prior restrictions, restoring medication abortion access for the first time in years under the existing constitutional framework and highlighting ongoing legal pushback against limits. The transgender care provisions largely codify existing statutes already upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, with limited exceptions and a 2027 sunset on certain elements. Traders appear to weigh the state's recent voter rejection of a near-total ban, the narrow polling margin, and the bundling of issues as factors reducing passage odds in this referendum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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