Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Politica·Aborto

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Politica·Aborto

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

23% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
23% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom measure and reinstate limits on abortion (with exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest up to 12 weeks) while embedding a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. State law already restricts these procedures, with the hormone and blocker moratorium set to expire in 2027. An August 2026 SLU/YouGov poll of likely voters showed the measure trailing narrowly at 43% support versus 44% opposition, with 13% undecided. Opposition campaigns have highlighted the effort to overturn the prior voter-approved rights expansion, while recent polling trends and historical patterns for ballot measures suggest softening support closer to election day. These factors align with trader consensus assigning a 76% implied probability that the amendment will not pass.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$2,111
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom measure and reinstate limits on abortion (with exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest up to 12 weeks) while embedding a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. State law already restricts these procedures, with the hormone and blocker moratorium set to expire in 2027. An August 2026 SLU/YouGov poll of likely voters showed the measure trailing narrowly at 43% support versus 44% opposition, with 13% undecided. Opposition campaigns have highlighted the effort to overturn the prior voter-approved rights expansion, while recent polling trends and historical patterns for ballot measures suggest softening support closer to election day. These factors align with trader consensus assigning a 76% implied probability that the amendment will not pass.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$2,111
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

90%
icon for Il Colorado approva una misura elettorale che vieta gli interventi chirurgici transgender ai minorenni?

Il Colorado approva una misura elettorale che vieta gli interventi chirurgici transgender ai minorenni?

53%
Sì
icon for Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 23% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 23¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 2, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" è 23% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 23% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.