Arnold Allen enters his featherweight main event against surging Brazilian Melquizael Costa on short rest after dropping three of his last four UFC bouts, including a decision loss to Jean Silva in January. Costa arrives with a six-fight win streak and strong momentum from recent victories, positioning the matchup as a classic veteran-versus-rising-contender test at the UFC Apex. Traders view Allen’s experience and top-10 ranking as providing a narrow edge in a five-round bout, while Costa’s striking volume and finishing ability keep the underdog live. Recent form, weight-cut success at 145.5 pounds, and the high-stakes divisional implications continue to shape consensus pricing ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoThis market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen enters his featherweight main event against surging Brazilian Melquizael Costa on short rest after dropping three of his last four UFC bouts, including a decision loss to Jean Silva in January. Costa arrives with a six-fight win streak and strong momentum from recent victories, positioning the matchup as a classic veteran-versus-rising-contender test at the UFC Apex. Traders view Allen’s experience and top-10 ranking as providing a narrow edge in a five-round bout, while Costa’s striking volume and finishing ability keep the underdog live. Recent form, weight-cut success at 145.5 pounds, and the high-stakes divisional implications continue to shape consensus pricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Mercato aperto: Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$497,463Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen enters his featherweight main event against surging Brazilian Melquizael Costa on short rest after dropping three of his last four UFC bouts, including a decision loss to Jean Silva in January. Costa arrives with a six-fight win streak and strong momentum from recent victories, positioning the matchup as a classic veteran-versus-rising-contender test at the UFC Apex. Traders view Allen’s experience and top-10 ranking as providing a narrow edge in a five-round bout, while Costa’s striking volume and finishing ability keep the underdog live. Recent form, weight-cut success at 145.5 pounds, and the high-stakes divisional implications continue to shape consensus pricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Mercato aperto: Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$497,463Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Arnold Allen enters his featherweight main event against surging Brazilian Melquizael Costa on short rest after dropping three of his last four UFC bouts, including a decision loss to Jean Silva in January. Costa arrives with a six-fight win streak and strong momentum from recent victories, positioning the matchup as a classic veteran-versus-rising-contender test at the UFC Apex. Traders view Allen’s experience and top-10 ranking as providing a narrow edge in a five-round bout, while Costa’s striking volume and finishing ability keep the underdog live. Recent form, weight-cut success at 145.5 pounds, and the high-stakes divisional implications continue to shape consensus pricing ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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