Islam Makhachev holds the strongest position in the welterweight division as the current champion after moving up from lightweight and securing a dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025. This transition has shaped trader consensus around his 70.5% implied probability, given his experience defending titles and physical advantages at 170 pounds. Recent developments include Carlos Prates' third-round TKO of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth in May 2026, elevating the Brazilian to the No. 2 ranking and supporting his 17.3% share amid a crowded contender queue. Ian Machado Garry sits at No. 1 with a 13.5% probability following strong performances, while Michael Morales at 11.5% benefits from recent finishes that keep him in title contention. The division's depth and Makhachev's upcoming defenses against top-ranked challengers continue to drive these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 71%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 14%
Michael Morales 11.5%
$39,236 Vol.
$39,236 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
71%
Carlos Prates
18%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Michael Morales
11%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Islam Makhachev 71%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 14%
Michael Morales 11.5%
$39,236 Vol.
$39,236 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
71%
Carlos Prates
18%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Michael Morales
11%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the strongest position in the welterweight division as the current champion after moving up from lightweight and securing a dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025. This transition has shaped trader consensus around his 70.5% implied probability, given his experience defending titles and physical advantages at 170 pounds. Recent developments include Carlos Prates' third-round TKO of Della Maddalena at UFC Perth in May 2026, elevating the Brazilian to the No. 2 ranking and supporting his 17.3% share amid a crowded contender queue. Ian Machado Garry sits at No. 1 with a 13.5% probability following strong performances, while Michael Morales at 11.5% benefits from recent finishes that keep him in title contention. The division's depth and Makhachev's upcoming defenses against top-ranked challengers continue to drive these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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