Recent data through July 2026 shows Miami home values largely flat year-over-year, with Zillow typical values near $584,000 (0% change) and Redfin median sales around $650,000 (down 0.05%), reflecting elevated mortgage rates that have lengthened days on market to 55-116 and shifted conditions toward buyers via higher inventory. These trends, alongside slowing net migration and broader Florida price moderation, underpin trader consensus around the $1.089M-$1.125M bin at 52% implied probability. With resolution just six weeks away, limited scope remains for sharp moves absent major shifts in Fed policy or economic releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale sarà il valore medio della casa a Miami il 30 settembre?
$1,089M - $1,125M 51%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $ 23%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $ 16.2%
< $1.017M 3.4%
$56,588 Vol.
$56,588 Vol.
< $1.017M
3%
$1,017M - $1,053M
2%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $
23%
$1,089M - $1,125M
51%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $
16%
$1,161 M - $1,196 M
3%
1,196M$+
1%
$1,089M - $1,125M 51%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $ 23%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $ 16.2%
< $1.017M 3.4%
$56,588 Vol.
$56,588 Vol.
< $1.017M
3%
$1,017M - $1,053M
2%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $
23%
$1,089M - $1,125M
51%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $
16%
$1,161 M - $1,196 M
3%
1,196M$+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data through July 2026 shows Miami home values largely flat year-over-year, with Zillow typical values near $584,000 (0% change) and Redfin median sales around $650,000 (down 0.05%), reflecting elevated mortgage rates that have lengthened days on market to 55-116 and shifted conditions toward buyers via higher inventory. These trends, alongside slowing net migration and broader Florida price moderation, underpin trader consensus around the $1.089M-$1.125M bin at 52% implied probability. With resolution just six weeks away, limited scope remains for sharp moves absent major shifts in Fed policy or economic releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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