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Economy·Housing

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?
Economy·Housing

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?

set 30

set 30

<$1.176M 100%

$1.176M - $1.198M 100%

$1.198M - $1.220M 100%

$1.242M - $1.264M 100%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<$1.176M 100%

$1.176M - $1.198M 100%

$1.198M - $1.220M 100%

$1.242M - $1.264M 100%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<$1.176M

$0 Vol.

100%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$0 Vol.

100%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$0 Vol.

100%

$1.220M - $1.242M

$0 Vol.

50%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$0 Vol.

100%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$0 Vol.

100%

$1.284M+

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$0
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent trader positioning around San Francisco Metro median home values reflects balanced uncertainty driven by the interplay between AI-related wealth creation in the tech sector and elevated mortgage rates near 6%. Latest Zillow and Redfin data through May 2026 show typical values near $1.39 million and median sale prices around $1.7 million, with year-over-year gains of 7-16% in select segments amid low inventory and faster sales velocity. However, broader Bay Area figures near $1.17 million and mixed county-level trends highlight sensitivity to labor market softening and interest-rate path expectations. Key swing factors through September include upcoming FOMC communications, regional employment reports, and any shifts in housing supply or buyer demand from IPO activity. Market-implied odds near 50% across bins underscore the narrow range of plausible outcomes absent decisive new catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$0
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)

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"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<$1.176M" a 50%, seguito da "$1.176M - $1.198M" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?" è "<$1.176M" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "$1.176M - $1.198M" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on September 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.