Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a credit and prepayment spread, currently average 6.65% for 30-year fixed loans as of late August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, elevated energy prices, and geopolitical tensions have kept long-term yields elevated despite prior federal funds rate cuts, limiting further declines. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and remaining FOMC meetings through year-end, where any reacceleration in core inflation or stronger labor data could push yields higher and cap downside in mortgage pricing. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the MBA project averages near 6.3–6.5% by December, underscoring how bond-market sentiment and inflation trajectories will determine whether rates breach key thresholds before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
Il tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
$50,761 Vol.
30 dic 2026
↑ 7,50%
43%
↑ 7,25%
51%
↑ 7,00%
42%
↑ 6,75%
83%
↓ 6,50%
43%
↓ 6,25%
40%
↓ 6,00%
44%
↓ 5,90%
18%
↓ 5,70%
2%
↓ 5,50%
10%
$50,761 Vol.
↑ 7,50%
$0 Vol.
43%
↑ 7,25%
$31 Vol.
51%
↑ 7,00%
$64 Vol.
42%
↑ 6,75%
$181 Vol.
83%
↓ 6,50%
$0 Vol.
43%
↓ 6,25%
$0 Vol.
40%
↓ 6,00%
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 5,90%
$6,201 Vol.
18%
↓ 5,70%
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5,50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a credit and prepayment spread, currently average 6.65% for 30-year fixed loans as of late August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, elevated energy prices, and geopolitical tensions have kept long-term yields elevated despite prior federal funds rate cuts, limiting further declines. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and remaining FOMC meetings through year-end, where any reacceleration in core inflation or stronger labor data could push yields higher and cap downside in mortgage pricing. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the MBA project averages near 6.3–6.5% by December, underscoring how bond-market sentiment and inflation trajectories will determine whether rates breach key thresholds before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$50,761Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a credit and prepayment spread, currently average 6.65% for 30-year fixed loans as of late August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, elevated energy prices, and geopolitical tensions have kept long-term yields elevated despite prior federal funds rate cuts, limiting further declines. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and remaining FOMC meetings through year-end, where any reacceleration in core inflation or stronger labor data could push yields higher and cap downside in mortgage pricing. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the MBA project averages near 6.3–6.5% by December, underscoring how bond-market sentiment and inflation trajectories will determine whether rates breach key thresholds before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$50,761Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a credit and prepayment spread, currently average 6.65% for 30-year fixed loans as of late August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, elevated energy prices, and geopolitical tensions have kept long-term yields elevated despite prior federal funds rate cuts, limiting further declines. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and remaining FOMC meetings through year-end, where any reacceleration in core inflation or stronger labor data could push yields higher and cap downside in mortgage pricing. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the MBA project averages near 6.3–6.5% by December, underscoring how bond-market sentiment and inflation trajectories will determine whether rates breach key thresholds before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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