Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and constrained buyer affordability continue to anchor NYC median home values, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the $636K–$663K range at 49.3% as recent Redfin and Zillow data show only modest 1–4% year-over-year gains amid rising inventory. Persistent high borrowing costs, stable but not robust labor market conditions, and limited new supply have tempered demand while supporting price stability near current levels. Traders appear to price in continued gradual appreciation through September without sharp catalysts like major Fed rate cuts or unexpected inventory surges that could shift the distribution toward higher or lower buckets before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato636.000$ - 663.000$ 49.3%
$609K - $636K 26.4%
$582K - $609K 6.3%
$663K - $689K 5.6%
$31,438 Vol.
$31,438 Vol.
30 set 2026
<$555.000
<1%
$555K - $582K
1%
$582K - $609K
10%
$609K - $636K
26%
636.000$ - 663.000$
49%
$663K - $689K
6%
$689K+
<1%
636.000$ - 663.000$ 49.3%
$609K - $636K 26.4%
$582K - $609K 6.3%
$663K - $689K 5.6%
$31,438 Vol.
$31,438 Vol.
30 set 2026
<$555.000
$628 Vol.
<1%
$555K - $582K
$1,880 Vol.
1%
$582K - $609K
$508 Vol.
10%
$609K - $636K
$7,098 Vol.
26%
636.000$ - 663.000$
$19,899 Vol.
49%
$663K - $689K
$687 Vol.
6%
$689K+
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and constrained buyer affordability continue to anchor NYC median home values, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the $636K–$663K range at 49.3% as recent Redfin and Zillow data show only modest 1–4% year-over-year gains amid rising inventory. Persistent high borrowing costs, stable but not robust labor market conditions, and limited new supply have tempered demand while supporting price stability near current levels. Traders appear to price in continued gradual appreciation through September without sharp catalysts like major Fed rate cuts or unexpected inventory surges that could shift the distribution toward higher or lower buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$31,438Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and constrained buyer affordability continue to anchor NYC median home values, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the $636K–$663K range at 49.3% as recent Redfin and Zillow data show only modest 1–4% year-over-year gains amid rising inventory. Persistent high borrowing costs, stable but not robust labor market conditions, and limited new supply have tempered demand while supporting price stability near current levels. Traders appear to price in continued gradual appreciation through September without sharp catalysts like major Fed rate cuts or unexpected inventory surges that could shift the distribution toward higher or lower buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$31,438Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and constrained buyer affordability continue to anchor NYC median home values, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring the $636K–$663K range at 49.3% as recent Redfin and Zillow data show only modest 1–4% year-over-year gains amid rising inventory. Persistent high borrowing costs, stable but not robust labor market conditions, and limited new supply have tempered demand while supporting price stability near current levels. Traders appear to price in continued gradual appreciation through September without sharp catalysts like major Fed rate cuts or unexpected inventory surges that could shift the distribution toward higher or lower buckets before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il valore mediano delle case negli Stati Uniti sarà inferiore a 419.000 dollari il 30 settembre?
61%
Sì
Il valore mediano delle case nella zona metropolitana di San Francisco sarà inferiore a $1.176.000 il 30 settembre?
52%
Sì
Il valore mediano delle case nell'area metropolitana di Los Angeles sarà compreso tra 1.137.000$ e 1.153.000$ il 30 settembre?
37%
Sì
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