Skip to main content
icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

NUOVO
31 mag 2026
Polymarket

$7,290 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake

$939 Vol.

97%

Ariana Grande

$999 Vol.

69%

Beyoncé

$2 Vol.

31%

Taylor Swift

$88 Vol.

33%

Gracie Abrams

$16 Vol.

32%

Noah Kahan

$0 Vol.

29%

Bruno Mars

$50 Vol.

28%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

27%

Olivia Dean

$2,217 Vol.

10%

Alex Warren

$1,809 Vol.

14%

Bad Bunny

$0 Vol.

7%

Kanye West

$0 Vol.

4%

Don Toliver

$276 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Drake’s May 15 album release “Iceman” has emerged as the dominant catalyst shifting trader focus toward late-month Billboard Hot 100 gains, with his catalog resurgence and anticipated streaming volume expected to propel multiple tracks into the top spot. Ella Langley continues to anchor the chart with the nine-week run of “Choosin’ Texas,” currently holding the summit and occupying additional top-10 positions that reinforce her frontrunner status. Olivia Rodrigo’s recent “Drop Dead” surge and sustained top-three presence further solidify her position, while Tame Impala and JENNIE’s new top-10 entry signals potential late-May momentum. With weekly chart lock dates approaching and no major competing releases slated until early June, these three artists currently shape the tightest market consensus around confirmed May number-one eligibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$7,290
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Drake’s May 15 album release “Iceman” has emerged as the dominant catalyst shifting trader focus toward late-month Billboard Hot 100 gains, with his catalog resurgence and anticipated streaming volume expected to propel multiple tracks into the top spot. Ella Langley continues to anchor the chart with the nine-week run of “Choosin’ Texas,” currently holding the summit and occupying additional top-10 positions that reinforce her frontrunner status. Olivia Rodrigo’s recent “Drop Dead” surge and sustained top-three presence further solidify her position, while Tame Impala and JENNIE’s new top-10 entry signals potential late-May momentum. With weekly chart lock dates approaching and no major competing releases slated until early June, these three artists currently shape the tightest market consensus around confirmed May number-one eligibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
Volume
$7,290
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Olivia Rodrigo" a 100%, seguito da "Drake" a 97%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" è "Olivia Rodrigo" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Drake" a 97%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.