Europe's commanding 72.5% implied probability reflects the depth of UEFA contenders topping current betting markets, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal occupying the top spots ahead of the expanded 48-team 2026 tournament. Spain's recent Euro 2024 title and strong FIFA rankings, combined with France's consistent final appearances and squad talent, have solidified this consensus among traders. South America's 19.5% share stems primarily from Argentina's defending champion status and Brazil's pedigree, though the region fields fewer elite sides overall. North American, African, and Asian probabilities remain low given limited historical success and current form, with the ongoing group stage providing early confirmation of European strength while knockout rounds could still introduce variance through upsets or injuries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale continente vincerà la Coppa del Mondo?
Europa 73%
Sud America 20%
Nord America 3.6%
Africa 2.8%
$3,813,186 Vol.
$3,813,186 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sud America
20%
Nord America
4%
Africa
3%
Asia
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 73%
Sud America 20%
Nord America 3.6%
Africa 2.8%
$3,813,186 Vol.
$3,813,186 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sud America
20%
Nord America
4%
Africa
3%
Asia
2%
Oceania
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's commanding 72.5% implied probability reflects the depth of UEFA contenders topping current betting markets, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal occupying the top spots ahead of the expanded 48-team 2026 tournament. Spain's recent Euro 2024 title and strong FIFA rankings, combined with France's consistent final appearances and squad talent, have solidified this consensus among traders. South America's 19.5% share stems primarily from Argentina's defending champion status and Brazil's pedigree, though the region fields fewer elite sides overall. North American, African, and Asian probabilities remain low given limited historical success and current form, with the ongoing group stage providing early confirmation of European strength while knockout rounds could still introduce variance through upsets or injuries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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