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icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$38,589 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$38,589 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$4,293 Vol.

68%

Rwanda

$2,149 Vol.

20%

Burundi

$202 Vol.

49%

United States

$10,507 Vol.

19%

Canada

$2,307 Vol.

23%

Kenya

$235 Vol.

23%

India

$737 Vol.

46%

Republic of the Congo

$12,400 Vol.

23%

Nigeria

$25 Vol.

51%

Ethiopia

$107 Vol.

52%

Somalia

$129 Vol.

36%

China

$3,543 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in mid-May 2026 and now exceeding 7,000 confirmed cases with nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for 2026 country-resolution markets. Rapid expansion beyond monitored contacts, fueled by insecurity, displacement, and health worker strikes, has already produced imported cases in Uganda (now resolved) and one in France, elevating implied probabilities for neighboring nations like South Sudan or the Republic of the Congo. WHO's public health emergency designation, stalled contact tracing, and limited vaccine efficacy data against this strain heighten uncertainty around further cross-border spread before year-end, while containment progress in Ituri offers the main counter-narrative for markets favoring fewer additional countries.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$38,589
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in mid-May 2026 and now exceeding 7,000 confirmed cases with nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for 2026 country-resolution markets. Rapid expansion beyond monitored contacts, fueled by insecurity, displacement, and health worker strikes, has already produced imported cases in Uganda (now resolved) and one in France, elevating implied probabilities for neighboring nations like South Sudan or the Republic of the Congo. WHO's public health emergency designation, stalled contact tracing, and limited vaccine efficacy data against this strain heighten uncertainty around further cross-border spread before year-end, while containment progress in Ituri offers the main counter-narrative for markets favoring fewer additional countries.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$38,589
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Sì
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Uganda" a 100%, seguito da "South Sudan" a 68%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ha generato $38.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" è "Uganda" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "South Sudan" a 68%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.