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Politica·Danimarca

Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?

icon for Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?
Politica·Danimarca

Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?

$125,175 Vol.

24 mar 2026
Polymarket

$125,175 Vol.

Polymarket

Moderates

$4,811 Vol.

94%

Socialdemocratici

$4,269 Vol.

75%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,288 Vol.

80%

Partito Socialista Popolare

$41,193 Vol.

50%

Venstre

$17,018 Vol.

38%

Partito Popolare Conservatore

$543 Vol.

22%

Alleanza Liberale

$10,063 Vol.

11%

Partito Popolare Danese

$5,056 Vol.

6%

Naleraq

$1,516 Vol.

8%

Unione Party

$7,261 Vol.

4%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Vol.

22%

L'Alleanza Alternativa

$4,201 Vol.

2%

Democratici di Danimarca

$5,796 Vol.

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Vol.

1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 Vol.

1%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 2026 election produced a fragmented Folketing in which no bloc secured a majority, with the Social Democrats remaining the largest single party yet losing ground and the red bloc narrowly ahead of the blue bloc overall. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s attempts to assemble a new coalition ended without success, prompting King Frederik X on 9 May to designate Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to lead negotiations for a government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. Coalition talks have already extended longer than any prior modern Danish formation process, centering on potential right-leaning combinations involving Venstre, the Conservatives, Liberal Alliance, and possibly the Danish People’s Party. Key unresolved issues include fiscal policy, welfare priorities, and green-transition commitments, while the absence of a clear majority increases the likelihood of a minority administration reliant on external parliamentary support. These dynamics continue to shape trader assessments of which parties will ultimately join the next government.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,175
Data di fine
24 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 2026 election produced a fragmented Folketing in which no bloc secured a majority, with the Social Democrats remaining the largest single party yet losing ground and the red bloc narrowly ahead of the blue bloc overall. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s attempts to assemble a new coalition ended without success, prompting King Frederik X on 9 May to designate Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to lead negotiations for a government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. Coalition talks have already extended longer than any prior modern Danish formation process, centering on potential right-leaning combinations involving Venstre, the Conservatives, Liberal Alliance, and possibly the Danish People’s Party. Key unresolved issues include fiscal policy, welfare priorities, and green-transition commitments, while the absence of a clear majority increases the likelihood of a minority administration reliant on external parliamentary support. These dynamics continue to shape trader assessments of which parties will ultimately join the next government.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,175
Data di fine
24 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

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Domande frequenti

"Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Moderates" a 94%, seguito da "Danish Social Liberal Party" a 80%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?" ha generato $125.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?" è "Moderates" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Danish Social Liberal Party" a 80%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quali partiti faranno parte del prossimo governo danese?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.