Recent polling shows Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot among young men ages 18-29 by margins of 20-30 points among likely voters, aligning with the market's 73% implied probability for a Democratic edge in the 2026 midterms. This positioning stems primarily from declining approval for the Trump administration among this group since 2024, with surveys indicating drops of 10 points or more tied to economic pressures, tariff impacts, and policy implementation. Shifts appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29 and non-voters from the prior cycle, while undecided moderates and lower midterm turnout intentions among some Republican-leaning young men remain variables that could influence final results. Historical midterm patterns among this demographic, where Democrats have performed strongly in recent cycles, further inform trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
6 nov 2026
Democratici
73%
Repubblicani
47%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 nov 2026
Democratici
$0 Vol.
73%
Repubblicani
$0 Vol.
47%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot among young men ages 18-29 by margins of 20-30 points among likely voters, aligning with the market's 73% implied probability for a Democratic edge in the 2026 midterms. This positioning stems primarily from declining approval for the Trump administration among this group since 2024, with surveys indicating drops of 10 points or more tied to economic pressures, tariff impacts, and policy implementation. Shifts appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29 and non-voters from the prior cycle, while undecided moderates and lower midterm turnout intentions among some Republican-leaning young men remain variables that could influence final results. Historical midterm patterns among this demographic, where Democrats have performed strongly in recent cycles, further inform trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot among young men ages 18-29 by margins of 20-30 points among likely voters, aligning with the market's 73% implied probability for a Democratic edge in the 2026 midterms. This positioning stems primarily from declining approval for the Trump administration among this group since 2024, with surveys indicating drops of 10 points or more tied to economic pressures, tariff impacts, and policy implementation. Shifts appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29 and non-voters from the prior cycle, while undecided moderates and lower midterm turnout intentions among some Republican-leaning young men remain variables that could influence final results. Historical midterm patterns among this demographic, where Democrats have performed strongly in recent cycles, further inform trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot among young men ages 18-29 by margins of 20-30 points among likely voters, aligning with the market's 73% implied probability for a Democratic edge in the 2026 midterms. This positioning stems primarily from declining approval for the Trump administration among this group since 2024, with surveys indicating drops of 10 points or more tied to economic pressures, tariff impacts, and policy implementation. Shifts appear most pronounced among men ages 23-29 and non-voters from the prior cycle, while undecided moderates and lower midterm turnout intentions among some Republican-leaning young men remain variables that could influence final results. Historical midterm patterns among this demographic, where Democrats have performed strongly in recent cycles, further inform trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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