Since summer 2025, a wave of mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in ten states ahead of the 2026 midterms, far exceeding typical post-census activity. Texas initiated the process with maps adding Republican-leaning seats, prompting retaliatory efforts in California via ballot measure and legislative action in states including Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and others. Adoption has hinged on state legislative majorities, gubernatorial approval, ballot measures, and court rulings on partisan gerrymandering or state constitutional limits. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges that could alter implementation before candidate filing deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects the rapid pace of these changes, the limited number of states with permissive rules or political incentives for further revisions, and the risk that additional attempts stall due to procedural barriers or litigation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,136 Vol.
3 nov 2026
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
96%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$395,136 Vol.
California
$17,232 Vol.
98%
Texas
$19,793 Vol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,909 Vol.
96%
Ohio
$7,385 Vol.
96%
Utah
$93,640 Vol.
91%
Florida
$7,123 Vol.
98%
Louisiana
$16,019 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$5,494 Vol.
93%
Virginia
$9,944 Vol.
5%
Alabama
$16,806 Vol.
91%
South Carolina
$28,897 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,469 Vol.
6%
Kansas
$7,979 Vol.
<1%
New Jersey
$6,034 Vol.
4%
Indiana
$34,456 Vol.
5%
Washington
$10,099 Vol.
4%
Nebraska
$7,515 Vol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$15,865 Vol.
5%
New York
$19,708 Vol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Vol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,576 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Since summer 2025, a wave of mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in ten states ahead of the 2026 midterms, far exceeding typical post-census activity. Texas initiated the process with maps adding Republican-leaning seats, prompting retaliatory efforts in California via ballot measure and legislative action in states including Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and others. Adoption has hinged on state legislative majorities, gubernatorial approval, ballot measures, and court rulings on partisan gerrymandering or state constitutional limits. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges that could alter implementation before candidate filing deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects the rapid pace of these changes, the limited number of states with permissive rules or political incentives for further revisions, and the risk that additional attempts stall due to procedural barriers or litigation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$395,136Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Since summer 2025, a wave of mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in ten states ahead of the 2026 midterms, far exceeding typical post-census activity. Texas initiated the process with maps adding Republican-leaning seats, prompting retaliatory efforts in California via ballot measure and legislative action in states including Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and others. Adoption has hinged on state legislative majorities, gubernatorial approval, ballot measures, and court rulings on partisan gerrymandering or state constitutional limits. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges that could alter implementation before candidate filing deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects the rapid pace of these changes, the limited number of states with permissive rules or political incentives for further revisions, and the risk that additional attempts stall due to procedural barriers or litigation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$395,136Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since summer 2025, a wave of mid-decade congressional redistricting has produced new maps in ten states ahead of the 2026 midterms, far exceeding typical post-census activity. Texas initiated the process with maps adding Republican-leaning seats, prompting retaliatory efforts in California via ballot measure and legislative action in states including Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and others. Adoption has hinged on state legislative majorities, gubernatorial approval, ballot measures, and court rulings on partisan gerrymandering or state constitutional limits. Several new maps face ongoing legal challenges that could alter implementation before candidate filing deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects the rapid pace of these changes, the limited number of states with permissive rules or political incentives for further revisions, and the risk that additional attempts stall due to procedural barriers or litigation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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