Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections as Republican-led state legislatures pursue new district lines in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Missouri, often building on initial changes enacted after the 2020 census. A late April Supreme Court ruling narrowing Voting Rights Act standards for majority-minority districts has prompted additional map revisions in Louisiana and potential follow-on efforts in Alabama and South Carolina. Democratic responses, such as California's voter-approved adjustments, have produced counterbalancing maps, while court reversals like Virginia's recent invalidation of its legislature-passed plan have kept older boundaries in place. Primary election delays in several states and pending appeals will determine final implementation timelines, with legislative control and litigation outcomes serving as the main variables shaping which maps reach voters in November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$257,242 Vol.
3 nov 2026
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
93%
Utah
87%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
17%
Alabama
82%
South Carolina
84%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
12%
$257,242 Vol.
California
$12,000 Vol.
97%
Texas
$3,503 Vol.
95%
North Carolina
$8,686 Vol.
97%
Ohio
$6,040 Vol.
93%
Utah
$59,277 Vol.
87%
Florida
$1,177 Vol.
63%
Louisiana
$15,586 Vol.
93%
Missouri
$3,904 Vol.
86%
Virginia
$6,816 Vol.
17%
Alabama
$14,749 Vol.
82%
South Carolina
$21,955 Vol.
84%
Georgia
$1,945 Vol.
12%
Kansas
$5,162 Vol.
8%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Vol.
6%
Washington
$5,325 Vol.
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 Vol.
7%
Illinois
$10,019 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 Vol.
3%
New York
$8,026 Vol.
13%
Maryland
$8,636 Vol.
17%
Wisconsin
$15,213 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections as Republican-led state legislatures pursue new district lines in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Missouri, often building on initial changes enacted after the 2020 census. A late April Supreme Court ruling narrowing Voting Rights Act standards for majority-minority districts has prompted additional map revisions in Louisiana and potential follow-on efforts in Alabama and South Carolina. Democratic responses, such as California's voter-approved adjustments, have produced counterbalancing maps, while court reversals like Virginia's recent invalidation of its legislature-passed plan have kept older boundaries in place. Primary election delays in several states and pending appeals will determine final implementation timelines, with legislative control and litigation outcomes serving as the main variables shaping which maps reach voters in November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volume
$257,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections as Republican-led state legislatures pursue new district lines in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Missouri, often building on initial changes enacted after the 2020 census. A late April Supreme Court ruling narrowing Voting Rights Act standards for majority-minority districts has prompted additional map revisions in Louisiana and potential follow-on efforts in Alabama and South Carolina. Democratic responses, such as California's voter-approved adjustments, have produced counterbalancing maps, while court reversals like Virginia's recent invalidation of its legislature-passed plan have kept older boundaries in place. Primary election delays in several states and pending appeals will determine final implementation timelines, with legislative control and litigation outcomes serving as the main variables shaping which maps reach voters in November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$257,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections as Republican-led state legislatures pursue new district lines in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Missouri, often building on initial changes enacted after the 2020 census. A late April Supreme Court ruling narrowing Voting Rights Act standards for majority-minority districts has prompted additional map revisions in Louisiana and potential follow-on efforts in Alabama and South Carolina. Democratic responses, such as California's voter-approved adjustments, have produced counterbalancing maps, while court reversals like Virginia's recent invalidation of its legislature-passed plan have kept older boundaries in place. Primary election delays in several states and pending appeals will determine final implementation timelines, with legislative control and litigation outcomes serving as the main variables shaping which maps reach voters in November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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