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Politica·Midterms

Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?

icon for Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?
Politica·Midterms

Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?

Sì

7% probabilità
Polymarket

$39,629 Vol.

Sì

7% probabilità
Polymarket

$39,629 Vol.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.The Virginia Supreme Court's 4-3 ruling on May 8 struck down a voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing mid-decade congressional redistricting, citing procedural violations in bypassing an intervening election, thereby preserving the current 2021 map—favoring Democrats 6-5—for the 2026 midterms. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed on May 14 that the state will conduct elections under this existing map, as the May 12 deadline for changes has passed and early voting preparation begins soon. Despite Democrats' emergency appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to reinstate their proposed 10-1 advantage map, traders price a 93% consensus against its use, viewing reversal as improbable given tight timelines and institutional reluctance near elections.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,629
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.The Virginia Supreme Court's 4-3 ruling on May 8 struck down a voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing mid-decade congressional redistricting, citing procedural violations in bypassing an intervening election, thereby preserving the current 2021 map—favoring Democrats 6-5—for the 2026 midterms. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed on May 14 that the state will conduct elections under this existing map, as the May 12 deadline for changes has passed and early voting preparation begins soon. Despite Democrats' emergency appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to reinstate their proposed 10-1 advantage map, traders price a 93% consensus against its use, viewing reversal as improbable given tight timelines and institutional reluctance near elections.

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,629
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia usata nelle elezioni di metà mandato?" a 7%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 7¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 7% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?" ha generato $39.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 3, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?" è "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia usata nelle elezioni di metà mandato?" a solo 7%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Nuova mappa congressuale della Virginia utilizzata nelle elezioni di medio termine?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.