Several states have enacted new congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court rulings, driven by partisan efforts to adjust district lines for potential gains in House seats. A late April Supreme Court decision striking down Louisiana’s map as improperly race-based triggered immediate follow-on moves, including delayed primaries and new proposals in Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Republican-led states such as Texas, North Carolina, and Florida completed revisions favoring their party, while California pursued changes expected to benefit Democrats. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and Alabama, plus primary rescheduling needs, remain key variables that could determine final map usage before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
79%
South Carolina
80%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
79%
South Carolina
80%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several states have enacted new congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court rulings, driven by partisan efforts to adjust district lines for potential gains in House seats. A late April Supreme Court decision striking down Louisiana’s map as improperly race-based triggered immediate follow-on moves, including delayed primaries and new proposals in Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Republican-led states such as Texas, North Carolina, and Florida completed revisions favoring their party, while California pursued changes expected to benefit Democrats. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and Alabama, plus primary rescheduling needs, remain key variables that could determine final map usage before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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