Islam Makhachev holds a commanding edge in the UFC welterweight title picture as the current champion following his dominant 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, and traders assign him an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the belt through the end of 2026. His established dominance at lightweight, combined with a strong start at 170 pounds and a confirmed first title defense scheduled for July, positions him favorably against a deep division. Rising contenders such as Carlos Prates, fresh off back-to-back knockout wins including one over Della Maddalena, and Ian Machado Garry sit at 18.9% and 6.6% respectively, reflecting their momentum and stylistic threats but also the significant barriers posed by Makhachev’s grappling and fight IQ. Other names like Michael Morales and veterans such as Kamaru Usman trail further behind amid ongoing roster shifts and recent form trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 6.6%
Michael Morales 4.0%
$40,316 Vol.
$40,316 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
7%
Michael Morales
4%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 6.6%
Michael Morales 4.0%
$40,316 Vol.
$40,316 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
7%
Michael Morales
4%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds a commanding edge in the UFC welterweight title picture as the current champion following his dominant 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, and traders assign him an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the belt through the end of 2026. His established dominance at lightweight, combined with a strong start at 170 pounds and a confirmed first title defense scheduled for July, positions him favorably against a deep division. Rising contenders such as Carlos Prates, fresh off back-to-back knockout wins including one over Della Maddalena, and Ian Machado Garry sit at 18.9% and 6.6% respectively, reflecting their momentum and stylistic threats but also the significant barriers posed by Makhachev’s grappling and fight IQ. Other names like Michael Morales and veterans such as Kamaru Usman trail further behind amid ongoing roster shifts and recent form trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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