Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetr Yan 75%
Umar Nurmagomedov 16.2%
Alexandre Pantoja 14.6%
Sean O'Malley 7.2%
$1,159,277 Vol.
$1,159,277 Vol.
Petr Yan
75%
Umar Nurmagomedov
16%
Alexandre Pantoja
15%
Sean O'Malley
21%
Cory Sandhagen
6%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan 75%
Umar Nurmagomedov 16.2%
Alexandre Pantoja 14.6%
Sean O'Malley 7.2%
$1,159,277 Vol.
$1,159,277 Vol.
Petr Yan
75%
Umar Nurmagomedov
16%
Alexandre Pantoja
15%
Sean O'Malley
21%
Cory Sandhagen
6%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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