Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Little Joe escape again?
Will Little Joe escape again?
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31 lug 2026
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31 lug 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,607Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volume
$1,607Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Little Joe the gorilla’s scheduled transfer from Franklin Park Zoo to an accredited Pittsburgh facility under the Gorilla Species Survival Plan has solidified near-certain trader consensus that he will not escape again before July 31. At 33, the mature western lowland gorilla is moving as part of a controlled breeding recommendation, with modern AZA protocols and decades of security upgrades since his 2003 breakout making a repeat incident highly improbable during transport or acclimation. The market-implied 99.2% probability for “No” reflects this institutional oversight and lack of any recent indicators of risk. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen breach during the relocation window itself, though historical precedent and current planning render that scenario remote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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