Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since the February 2026 strikes have not prompted a congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns where presidents pursue operations without formal authorization under Article I. Recent Strait of Hormuz incidents in July and August, including vessel attacks and US naval responses, have sustained tensions but coincided with renewed mediator-led talks involving Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. The June memorandum of understanding outlined sanctions relief and reconstruction commitments in exchange for de-escalation and nuclear talks, though implementation remains incomplete. Traders assess formal war declarations as low-probability events given active diplomatic channels, the 60-day negotiation window extensions, and institutional barriers to congressional action before any resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
$7,764,545 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
3%
$7,764,545 Vol.
31 dicembre
$791,911 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since the February 2026 strikes have not prompted a congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns where presidents pursue operations without formal authorization under Article I. Recent Strait of Hormuz incidents in July and August, including vessel attacks and US naval responses, have sustained tensions but coincided with renewed mediator-led talks involving Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. The June memorandum of understanding outlined sanctions relief and reconstruction commitments in exchange for de-escalation and nuclear talks, though implementation remains incomplete. Traders assess formal war declarations as low-probability events given active diplomatic channels, the 60-day negotiation window extensions, and institutional barriers to congressional action before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,764,545Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since the February 2026 strikes have not prompted a congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns where presidents pursue operations without formal authorization under Article I. Recent Strait of Hormuz incidents in July and August, including vessel attacks and US naval responses, have sustained tensions but coincided with renewed mediator-led talks involving Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. The June memorandum of understanding outlined sanctions relief and reconstruction commitments in exchange for de-escalation and nuclear talks, though implementation remains incomplete. Traders assess formal war declarations as low-probability events given active diplomatic channels, the 60-day negotiation window extensions, and institutional barriers to congressional action before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,764,545Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges since the February 2026 strikes have not prompted a congressional declaration of war, consistent with historical patterns where presidents pursue operations without formal authorization under Article I. Recent Strait of Hormuz incidents in July and August, including vessel attacks and US naval responses, have sustained tensions but coincided with renewed mediator-led talks involving Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. The June memorandum of understanding outlined sanctions relief and reconstruction commitments in exchange for de-escalation and nuclear talks, though implementation remains incomplete. Traders assess formal war declarations as low-probability events given active diplomatic channels, the 60-day negotiation window extensions, and institutional barriers to congressional action before any resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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