Despite ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade implemented April 14, and a fragile two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, the key trigger for market resolution. Mid-May developments show stalled peace talks, with President Trump warning of a ceasefire on "massive life support" and planning discussions with China, while Democrats' repeated war powers resolutions face GOP rejection. A May 1 deadline under the War Powers Resolution passed without authorization, underscoring partisan divides and historical reluctance for formal declarations since World War II. Upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift dynamics, but trader consensus reflects low likelihood absent bipartisan support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
$7,519,998 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
8%
$7,519,998 Vol.
31 dicembre
$547,364 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade implemented April 14, and a fragile two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, the key trigger for market resolution. Mid-May developments show stalled peace talks, with President Trump warning of a ceasefire on "massive life support" and planning discussions with China, while Democrats' repeated war powers resolutions face GOP rejection. A May 1 deadline under the War Powers Resolution passed without authorization, underscoring partisan divides and historical reluctance for formal declarations since World War II. Upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift dynamics, but trader consensus reflects low likelihood absent bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,519,998Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade implemented April 14, and a fragile two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, the key trigger for market resolution. Mid-May developments show stalled peace talks, with President Trump warning of a ceasefire on "massive life support" and planning discussions with China, while Democrats' repeated war powers resolutions face GOP rejection. A May 1 deadline under the War Powers Resolution passed without authorization, underscoring partisan divides and historical reluctance for formal declarations since World War II. Upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift dynamics, but trader consensus reflects low likelihood absent bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,519,998Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade implemented April 14, and a fragile two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan on April 8—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, the key trigger for market resolution. Mid-May developments show stalled peace talks, with President Trump warning of a ceasefire on "massive life support" and planning discussions with China, while Democrats' repeated war powers resolutions face GOP rejection. A May 1 deadline under the War Powers Resolution passed without authorization, underscoring partisan divides and historical reluctance for formal declarations since World War II. Upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift dynamics, but trader consensus reflects low likelihood absent bipartisan support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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