Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on nuclear negotiations, Strait of Hormuz access, and regional security following 2026 military operations that began February 28 without a congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include resumed exchanges in July after Iran targeted commercial vessels, followed by President Trump's August 2 announcement canceling planned strikes in expectation of a rapid diplomatic deal addressing Iran's nuclear program and reopening maritime routes. Trader sentiment reflects the distinction between sustained military action under existing authorities and the higher threshold for formal war declaration, alongside scheduled talks and de-escalation signals that could influence any near-term resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
$7,763,861 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
3%
$7,763,861 Vol.
31 dicembre
$791,226 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on nuclear negotiations, Strait of Hormuz access, and regional security following 2026 military operations that began February 28 without a congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include resumed exchanges in July after Iran targeted commercial vessels, followed by President Trump's August 2 announcement canceling planned strikes in expectation of a rapid diplomatic deal addressing Iran's nuclear program and reopening maritime routes. Trader sentiment reflects the distinction between sustained military action under existing authorities and the higher threshold for formal war declaration, alongside scheduled talks and de-escalation signals that could influence any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,763,861Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on nuclear negotiations, Strait of Hormuz access, and regional security following 2026 military operations that began February 28 without a congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include resumed exchanges in July after Iran targeted commercial vessels, followed by President Trump's August 2 announcement canceling planned strikes in expectation of a rapid diplomatic deal addressing Iran's nuclear program and reopening maritime routes. Trader sentiment reflects the distinction between sustained military action under existing authorities and the higher threshold for formal war declaration, alongside scheduled talks and de-escalation signals that could influence any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,763,861Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on nuclear negotiations, Strait of Hormuz access, and regional security following 2026 military operations that began February 28 without a congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include resumed exchanges in July after Iran targeted commercial vessels, followed by President Trump's August 2 announcement canceling planned strikes in expectation of a rapid diplomatic deal addressing Iran's nuclear program and reopening maritime routes. Trader sentiment reflects the distinction between sustained military action under existing authorities and the higher threshold for formal war declaration, alongside scheduled talks and de-escalation signals that could influence any near-term resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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