Japan leads the Fair Play Award market at 21.1% implied probability due to its historically disciplined play and possession-oriented style that limits fouls and cards. Belgium, Croatia, and several other European sides sit close behind, reflecting their comparable recent tournament records and tactical approaches that emphasize control over physical confrontations. Past winners like England and Spain demonstrate how strong coaching and squad experience can deliver clean sheets in disciplinary metrics, while the expanded 48-team field and varied group-stage opponents create uncertainty that keeps probabilities clustered among established contenders rather than consolidating behind any single favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCoppa del Mondo: vincitore del premio Fair Play
Norway 22.2%
Japan 18.0%
Belgium 15.2%
France 9%
$52,175 Vol.
$52,175 Vol.
Norway
22%
Japan
21%
Belgium
15%
France
9%
Spain
9%
Brazil
7%
Iran
6%
Mexico
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
Portugal
7%
Croatia
9%
South Korea
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
6%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Norway 22.2%
Japan 18.0%
Belgium 15.2%
France 9%
$52,175 Vol.
$52,175 Vol.
Norway
22%
Japan
21%
Belgium
15%
France
9%
Spain
9%
Brazil
7%
Iran
6%
Mexico
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
Portugal
7%
Croatia
9%
South Korea
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
6%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan leads the Fair Play Award market at 21.1% implied probability due to its historically disciplined play and possession-oriented style that limits fouls and cards. Belgium, Croatia, and several other European sides sit close behind, reflecting their comparable recent tournament records and tactical approaches that emphasize control over physical confrontations. Past winners like England and Spain demonstrate how strong coaching and squad experience can deliver clean sheets in disciplinary metrics, while the expanded 48-team field and varied group-stage opponents create uncertainty that keeps probabilities clustered among established contenders rather than consolidating behind any single favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti