The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 48 nations split across 12 groups, means the top two finishers plus the eight best third-placed teams advance from the group stage to the Round of 32, with further progression required to reach the Round of 16. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's narrow victory, have begun shaping implied probabilities as traders assess current form, squad depth, and fixture difficulty. Key variables include recent match outcomes, injury updates to star players, and historical head-to-head records against group opponents. Home-soil advantages for co-hosts and schedule congestion from back-to-back fixtures also factor into consensus pricing, while upsets remain common given the competitive depth across confederations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$676,453 Vol.
France
84%
Spain
82%
England
78%
Portugal
75%
Germany
73%
Argentina
72%
Brazil
71%
USA
66%
Belgium
65%
Mexico
61%
Netherlands
57%
Switzerland
54%
Colombia
54%
Norway
54%
Morocco
50%
South Korea
47%
Uruguay
40%
Croatia
40%
Ecuador
39%
Japan
39%
Canada
38%
Ivory Coast
35%
Australia
34%
Egypt
32%
Senegal
32%
Austria
30%
Turkiye
25%
Sweden
23%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
22%
Scotland
21%
Iran
21%
Algeria
20%
Czechia
18%
Paraguay
15%
Ghana
13%
DR Congo
12%
Tunisia
10%
Panama
9%
Cape Verde
7%
Saudi Arabia
7%
New Zealand
7%
Uzbekistan
7%
Curacao
6%
South Africa
6%
Jordan
5%
Qatar
4%
Iraq
3%
Haiti
2%
$676,453 Vol.
France
84%
Spain
82%
England
78%
Portugal
75%
Germany
73%
Argentina
72%
Brazil
71%
USA
66%
Belgium
65%
Mexico
61%
Netherlands
57%
Switzerland
54%
Colombia
54%
Norway
54%
Morocco
50%
South Korea
47%
Uruguay
40%
Croatia
40%
Ecuador
39%
Japan
39%
Canada
38%
Ivory Coast
35%
Australia
34%
Egypt
32%
Senegal
32%
Austria
30%
Turkiye
25%
Sweden
23%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
22%
Scotland
21%
Iran
21%
Algeria
20%
Czechia
18%
Paraguay
15%
Ghana
13%
DR Congo
12%
Tunisia
10%
Panama
9%
Cape Verde
7%
Saudi Arabia
7%
New Zealand
7%
Uzbekistan
7%
Curacao
6%
South Africa
6%
Jordan
5%
Qatar
4%
Iraq
3%
Haiti
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 48 nations split across 12 groups, means the top two finishers plus the eight best third-placed teams advance from the group stage to the Round of 32, with further progression required to reach the Round of 16. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's narrow victory, have begun shaping implied probabilities as traders assess current form, squad depth, and fixture difficulty. Key variables include recent match outcomes, injury updates to star players, and historical head-to-head records against group opponents. Home-soil advantages for co-hosts and schedule congestion from back-to-back fixtures also factor into consensus pricing, while upsets remain common given the competitive depth across confederations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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