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Sport·Calcio

Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?

icon for Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?
Sport·Calcio

Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?

Made

79% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

Made

79% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Historical conversion rates for spot-kicks awarded in regulation or extra time during FIFA World Cup matches stand at 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome on the tournament's first penalty. This edge stems from elite attackers maintaining strong accuracy under pressure in open-play situations, supported by recent tournament data showing consistent success above 75% outside shootouts, where rates drop nearer 69%. With no confirmed injuries or form issues affecting early match officiating or taker selection ahead of the 2026 group stage, the wisdom of crowds in pricing reflects these established patterns in penalty execution and goalkeeper positioning.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.

The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,124
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Historical conversion rates for spot-kicks awarded in regulation or extra time during FIFA World Cup matches stand at 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome on the tournament's first penalty. This edge stems from elite attackers maintaining strong accuracy under pressure in open-play situations, supported by recent tournament data showing consistent success above 75% outside shootouts, where rates drop nearer 69%. With no confirmed injuries or form issues affecting early match officiating or taker selection ahead of the 2026 group stage, the wisdom of crowds in pricing reflects these established patterns in penalty execution and goalkeeper positioning.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.

The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,124
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" a 79%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 79¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 79% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?" è "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" a 79%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 79% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Coppa del Mondo: primo rigore fatto o mancato?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.