**Switzerland leads Group B expectations at 56.5% implied probability due to its superior FIFA ranking, consistent recent World Cup pedigree, and balanced squad featuring experienced midfielders like Granit Xhaka alongside attacking options such as Breel Embolo.** The Swiss topped their European qualifiers unbeaten and enter with strong home/away form in recent friendlies, positioning them as the clear frontrunner to top the group ahead of matches starting June 12. **Canada sits at 30.5% as co-hosts with meaningful home-soil advantage across venues like Toronto and Vancouver, bolstered by a full squad announcement under Jesse Marsch despite noted injury challenges.** Their qualification history and domestic support provide a realistic path to second place or better, though results against stronger European sides will test depth. **Bosnia and Herzegovina at 12.5% benefits from playoff momentum after a dramatic qualification run featuring veteran Edin Džeko and emerging talents, giving the side confidence despite a long absence from the finals.** Their direct style and transition threat create upset potential, particularly against Canada or Qatar, but lower overall ranking limits their ceiling. **Qatar trails at 2.3% following a merit-based qualification but hampered by inconsistent recent form, defensive vulnerabilities exposed in qualifiers, and limited depth relative to the group.** The 2022 hosts face a steep challenge in their second appearance, with outcomes likely hinging on results against fellow underdogs. These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds incorporating rankings, recent friendlies, squad health, and historical patterns ahead of the June group stage.