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Sport·Calcio

Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?

icon for Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?
Sport·Calcio

Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?

21% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
21% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Messi's advanced age nearing 39 and evolving role with Argentina, emphasizing playmaking and selective minutes over high-volume set-piece duties, underpin the 79% implied probability that he will not score directly from a free kick at the 2026 World Cup. Recent pre-tournament friendlies show him converting penalties rather than direct free kicks, while his club form includes occasional strikes from dead balls in MLS. Historical patterns reveal limited direct free-kick success across prior World Cups amid elite defenses and group-to-knockout dynamics that limit high-percentage opportunities compared to domestic matches. Trader positioning aligns with careful load management for the defending champions and a shift away from frequent attempts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,451
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Messi's advanced age nearing 39 and evolving role with Argentina, emphasizing playmaking and selective minutes over high-volume set-piece duties, underpin the 79% implied probability that he will not score directly from a free kick at the 2026 World Cup. Recent pre-tournament friendlies show him converting penalties rather than direct free kicks, while his club form includes occasional strikes from dead balls in MLS. Historical patterns reveal limited direct free-kick success across prior World Cups amid elite defenses and group-to-knockout dynamics that limit high-percentage opportunities compared to domestic matches. Trader positioning aligns with careful load management for the defending champions and a shift away from frequent attempts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,451
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

" Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 21% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 21¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 21% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

" Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su " Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per " Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?" è 21% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 21% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per " Coppa del Mondo: Messi segna un calcio di punizione?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.