Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-favorites behind a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and recent qualifying dominance. The absence of any Real Madrid players in Luis de la Fuente’s 26-man roster has drawn attention but has not dented trader confidence in advancement. Minor injury concerns around Yamal’s hamstring and Williams’ fitness for the Group H opener against Cape Verde introduce modest early-round risk, yet the group itself looks navigable. These elements align with the market’s elevated “Other” probability and tempered but non-negligible chances of a round-of-32 or round-of-16 exit, while keeping longer runs priced competitively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRound of 32 22%
Round of 16 22%
Champion 17%
Quarterfinals 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 lug 2026
Round of 32
22%
Round of 16
22%
Champion
17%
Quarterfinals
16%
Semifinals
15%
Final
13%
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32 22%
Round of 16 22%
Champion 17%
Quarterfinals 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 lug 2026
Round of 32
$6,443 Vol.
22%
Round of 16
$188 Vol.
22%
Champion
$229 Vol.
17%
Quarterfinals
$523 Vol.
16%
Semifinals
$1,532 Vol.
15%
Final
$174 Vol.
13%
Group Stage
$631 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-favorites behind a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and recent qualifying dominance. The absence of any Real Madrid players in Luis de la Fuente’s 26-man roster has drawn attention but has not dented trader confidence in advancement. Minor injury concerns around Yamal’s hamstring and Williams’ fitness for the Group H opener against Cape Verde introduce modest early-round risk, yet the group itself looks navigable. These elements align with the market’s elevated “Other” probability and tempered but non-negligible chances of a round-of-32 or round-of-16 exit, while keeping longer runs priced competitively.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$9,720Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-favorites behind a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and recent qualifying dominance. The absence of any Real Madrid players in Luis de la Fuente’s 26-man roster has drawn attention but has not dented trader confidence in advancement. Minor injury concerns around Yamal’s hamstring and Williams’ fitness for the Group H opener against Cape Verde introduce modest early-round risk, yet the group itself looks navigable. These elements align with the market’s elevated “Other” probability and tempered but non-negligible chances of a round-of-32 or round-of-16 exit, while keeping longer runs priced competitively.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,720Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-favorites behind a deep, technically gifted squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title and recent qualifying dominance. The absence of any Real Madrid players in Luis de la Fuente’s 26-man roster has drawn attention but has not dented trader confidence in advancement. Minor injury concerns around Yamal’s hamstring and Williams’ fitness for the Group H opener against Cape Verde introduce modest early-round risk, yet the group itself looks navigable. These elements align with the market’s elevated “Other” probability and tempered but non-negligible chances of a round-of-32 or round-of-16 exit, while keeping longer runs priced competitively.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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