Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inghilterra 10.8%
Portogallo 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Portogallo
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Inghilterra 10.8%
Portogallo 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
$37,480,629 Vol.
17%
Francia
$44,026,600 Vol.
16%
Inghilterra
$32,464,322 Vol.
11%
Portogallo
$39,384,475 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$34,858,386 Vol.
9%
Brasile
$34,011,733 Vol.
8%
Germania
$36,206,197 Vol.
5%
Paesi Bassi
$38,483,025 Vol.
4%
Norvegia
$37,314,087 Vol.
2%
Belgio
$40,222,266 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$40,365,689 Vol.
2%
Giappone
$40,769,447 Vol.
2%
Marocco
$44,061,626 Vol.
2%
Messico
$44,176,628 Vol.
1%
Svizzera
$39,043,927 Vol.
1%
Turchia
$36,811,969 Vol.
1%
Stati Uniti
$56,510,808 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$39,510,494 Vol.
1%
Croazia
$45,151,644 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$45,038,578 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$38,982,729 Vol.
1%
Costa d'Avorio
$52,635,925 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$43,206,039 Vol.
<1%
Canada
$44,110,381 Vol.
<1%
Svezia
$29,892,579 Vol.
<1%
Corea del Sud
$48,390,488 Vol.
<1%
Scozia
$42,307,383 Vol.
<1%
Egitto
$51,330,528 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$44,626,368 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$36,992,928 Vol.
<1%
Algeria
$44,759,946 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
$27,995,792 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$42,097,017 Vol.
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
$57,823,833 Vol.
<1%
Cechia
$31,106,207 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$46,208,197 Vol.
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
$45,486,877 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$32,043,278 Vol.
<1%
Giordania
$31,615,970 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$41,680,839 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$35,517,463 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$59,663,014 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$19,385,468 Vol.
<1%
Iraq
$28,870,732 Vol.
<1%
Sudafrica
$38,252,430 Vol.
<1%
Capo Verde
$40,218,190 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$42,006,699 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$47,650,068 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,958,866,297Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,958,866,297Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the narrowest pre-tournament favorite in this expanded 48-team field, with both sides benefiting from deep attacking talent, recent major-tournament pedigree, and strong qualifying campaigns. Trader pricing has tightened further after France’s 2-1 friendly defeat to Ivory Coast and Spain’s consistent results in warm-ups, while England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit within striking distance on the back of squad depth and historical knockout-stage resilience. Multiple high-profile injuries across mid-tier contenders, combined with the distributed strength of European and South American sides, have kept implied probabilities clustered at the top and limited separation among the leading markets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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