Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Portogallo
11%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
$1,947,729,590 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Portogallo
11%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit in a tight cluster of implied probabilities because each fields elite squads with exceptional depth and recent major-tournament pedigree heading into the expanded 48-team 2026 finals. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and consistent Nations League results underpin its narrow lead, while France’s generational talent pool and unbeaten recent qualifiers keep it within a point. Argentina’s status as defending champions and top FIFA ranking, combined with England’s and Portugal’s strong form and bracket positioning, prevent any single side from pulling away. Germany and the Netherlands add further pressure through depth, ensuring the market reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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