Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNorway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.3%
Austria 11%
Austria
11%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
22%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
23%
Türkiye
30%
Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.3%
Austria 11%
Austria
11%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
22%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
23%
Türkiye
30%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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