Trader consensus at 99.1 percent on "No" stems from the absence of any active Department of Justice denaturalization proceedings against Zohran Mamdani, the New York City mayor and naturalized citizen since 2018, despite 2025 congressional letters urging review of his naturalization application. Successful revocation requires a civil lawsuit proving willful material misrepresentation with a high evidentiary threshold, a process pursued in fewer than 100 cases annually nationwide and rarely completed within months. No federal filings or indictments have advanced in the intervening period, leaving insufficient time for litigation and a final ruling before the December 31, 2026 market deadline. Late-emerging primary-source evidence sufficient to trigger expedited DOJ action remains the sole realistic pathway that could alter current pricing.