The tight clustering of probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually open Golden Boot race heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. Kylian Mbappé sits atop trader consensus on the back of his sustained scoring form at Real Madrid and France’s deep squad, yet Harry Kane remains within striking distance thanks to his elite finishing and consistent output for both Bayern Munich and England. Ousmane Dembéle, Vinicius Junior, and Erling Haaland follow closely behind, each buoyed by strong club seasons and favorable group-stage paths, while emerging threats like Lamine Yamal and Michael Olise keep the field competitive. Recent national-team squad announcements and a handful of key injuries have prevented any single forward from pulling clear, leaving the outcome dependent on which attacker capitalizes on extra matches and limited rest across the knockout stages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Kylian Mbappe 17%
Harry Kane 14%
Ousmane Dembele 7.1%
Vinicius Junior 6.9%
$80,028 Vol.
$80,028 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
17%
Harry Kane
14%
Ousmane Dembele
7%
Vinicius Junior
7%
Erling Haaland
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Mikel Oyarzabal
6%
Lautaro Martinez
6%
Heung-Min Son
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Michael Olise
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Deniz Undav
3%
Igor Thiago
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Depay Memphis
3%
Raphinha
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Pedri
1%
Serge Gnabry
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Amad Diallo
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 17%
Harry Kane 14%
Ousmane Dembele 7.1%
Vinicius Junior 6.9%
$80,028 Vol.
$80,028 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
17%
Harry Kane
14%
Ousmane Dembele
7%
Vinicius Junior
7%
Erling Haaland
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Mikel Oyarzabal
6%
Lautaro Martinez
6%
Heung-Min Son
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Michael Olise
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Deniz Undav
3%
Igor Thiago
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Depay Memphis
3%
Raphinha
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Pedri
1%
Serge Gnabry
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Amad Diallo
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually open Golden Boot race heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. Kylian Mbappé sits atop trader consensus on the back of his sustained scoring form at Real Madrid and France’s deep squad, yet Harry Kane remains within striking distance thanks to his elite finishing and consistent output for both Bayern Munich and England. Ousmane Dembéle, Vinicius Junior, and Erling Haaland follow closely behind, each buoyed by strong club seasons and favorable group-stage paths, while emerging threats like Lamine Yamal and Michael Olise keep the field competitive. Recent national-team squad announcements and a handful of key injuries have prevented any single forward from pulling clear, leaving the outcome dependent on which attacker capitalizes on extra matches and limited rest across the knockout stages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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