Belgium holds a commanding 67.5% implied probability as Group G winner, reflecting their No. 6 FIFA ranking, squad depth with Kevin De Bruyne and Jeremy Doku, and a dominant 5-2 friendly win over the USA in March despite missing stars like Thibaut Courtois and Romelu Lukaku, whose fitness is being managed. Egypt trails at 17% buoyed by Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush's attacking threat plus an unbeaten CAF qualifying campaign, though Salah's hamstring doubt from late April introduces minor uncertainty ahead of the June 15 opener versus Belgium. Iran's 9.6% share stems from defensive solidity in AFC qualifiers and tactical discipline under Amir Ghalenoei, tempered by Ali Gholizadeh's early-May ACL tear. New Zealand at 2.8% faces steep odds as the No. 85-ranked side, relying on Chris Wood's physicality after mixed March FIFA Series results. Training camps this week emphasize mentality with no new major injuries reported, stabilizing trader consensus on Belgium topping the group for knockout advancement.