Syria's transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under a March 2025 constitutional declaration establishing a five-year interim period with no scheduled elections or formal removal process before 2030. His administration has consolidated authority through a January 2026 military campaign against the Syrian Democratic Forces followed by ceasefires and integration talks, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and expanded diplomatic outreach including April 2026 engagements in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. These steps, alongside Gulf investment inflows and ongoing security discussions with regional actors, have reinforced institutional stability and reduced immediate challenges to his leadership. Traders price the slim 11.5% chance of an early exit by December 31, 2026, on the absence of credible domestic or external pressures capable of overriding this consolidation within the market window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に？
アフマド・アル・シャラーが2026年12月31日までにシリアの指導者に？
はい
$56,666 Vol.
$56,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$56,666 Vol.
$56,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria's transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under a March 2025 constitutional declaration establishing a five-year interim period with no scheduled elections or formal removal process before 2030. His administration has consolidated authority through a January 2026 military campaign against the Syrian Democratic Forces followed by ceasefires and integration talks, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and expanded diplomatic outreach including April 2026 engagements in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. These steps, alongside Gulf investment inflows and ongoing security discussions with regional actors, have reinforced institutional stability and reduced immediate challenges to his leadership. Traders price the slim 11.5% chance of an early exit by December 31, 2026, on the absence of credible domestic or external pressures capable of overriding this consolidation within the market window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
音量
$56,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syria's transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under a March 2025 constitutional declaration establishing a five-year interim period with no scheduled elections or formal removal process before 2030. His administration has consolidated authority through a January 2026 military campaign against the Syrian Democratic Forces followed by ceasefires and integration talks, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and expanded diplomatic outreach including April 2026 engagements in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. These steps, alongside Gulf investment inflows and ongoing security discussions with regional actors, have reinforced institutional stability and reduced immediate challenges to his leadership. Traders price the slim 11.5% chance of an early exit by December 31, 2026, on the absence of credible domestic or external pressures capable of overriding this consolidation within the market window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$56,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Syria's transitional president Ahmed al-Sharaa holds office under a March 2025 constitutional declaration establishing a five-year interim period with no scheduled elections or formal removal process before 2030. His administration has consolidated authority through a January 2026 military campaign against the Syrian Democratic Forces followed by ceasefires and integration talks, a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle, and expanded diplomatic outreach including April 2026 engagements in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. These steps, alongside Gulf investment inflows and ongoing security discussions with regional actors, have reinforced institutional stability and reduced immediate challenges to his leadership. Traders price the slim 11.5% chance of an early exit by December 31, 2026, on the absence of credible domestic or external pressures capable of overriding this consolidation within the market window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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