**High trader confidence in "No" stems from Brazil's constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, combined with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's consistent refusal to advance over 100 accumulated impeachment petitions, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes.** Internal STF conflicts over the Banco Master investigation have intensified public scrutiny and opposition pressure in September 2026, yet procedural barriers and lack of majority support have kept proceedings stalled. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice via impeachment. The short window before 2027 further limits prospects, even amid rising distrust polls and rule-change proposals from opposition senators. Post-October election shifts in Senate composition or leadership could introduce new dynamics, though achieving the necessary votes in time remains structurally challenging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in "No" stems from Brazil's constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, combined with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's consistent refusal to advance over 100 accumulated impeachment petitions, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes.** Internal STF conflicts over the Banco Master investigation have intensified public scrutiny and opposition pressure in September 2026, yet procedural barriers and lack of majority support have kept proceedings stalled. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice via impeachment. The short window before 2027 further limits prospects, even amid rising distrust polls and rule-change proposals from opposition senators. Post-October election shifts in Senate composition or leadership could introduce new dynamics, though achieving the necessary votes in time remains structurally challenging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$91,769終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in "No" stems from Brazil's constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, combined with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's consistent refusal to advance over 100 accumulated impeachment petitions, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes.** Internal STF conflicts over the Banco Master investigation have intensified public scrutiny and opposition pressure in September 2026, yet procedural barriers and lack of majority support have kept proceedings stalled. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice via impeachment. The short window before 2027 further limits prospects, even amid rising distrust polls and rule-change proposals from opposition senators. Post-October election shifts in Senate composition or leadership could introduce new dynamics, though achieving the necessary votes in time remains structurally challenging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$91,769終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**High trader confidence in "No" stems from Brazil's constitutional requirement of a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, combined with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's consistent refusal to advance over 100 accumulated impeachment petitions, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes.** Internal STF conflicts over the Banco Master investigation have intensified public scrutiny and opposition pressure in September 2026, yet procedural barriers and lack of majority support have kept proceedings stalled. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice via impeachment. The short window before 2027 further limits prospects, even amid rising distrust polls and rule-change proposals from opposition senators. Post-October election shifts in Senate composition or leadership could introduce new dynamics, though achieving the necessary votes in time remains structurally challenging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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