Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that controversial looksmaxxing streamer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) avoids a prison sentence, driven by the February 2026 dismissal of his felony forgery and drug possession charges from an Arizona fake ID arrest, which had threatened up to 15 years. Subsequent Florida battery and firearm discharge cases—both reduced to misdemeanors with maximum one-year penalties—have seen no convictions, aligning with patterns where first-time influencers often receive probation or fines amid high public scrutiny. Recent social media clips confirm an upcoming court date, but traders see minimal prison risk given the misdemeanor trajectory and lack of escalated charges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日鎖骨が懲役刑を言い渡されたのですか？
鎖骨が懲役刑を言い渡されたのですか？
はい
$60,392 Vol.
$60,392 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$60,392 Vol.
$60,392 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that controversial looksmaxxing streamer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) avoids a prison sentence, driven by the February 2026 dismissal of his felony forgery and drug possession charges from an Arizona fake ID arrest, which had threatened up to 15 years. Subsequent Florida battery and firearm discharge cases—both reduced to misdemeanors with maximum one-year penalties—have seen no convictions, aligning with patterns where first-time influencers often receive probation or fines amid high public scrutiny. Recent social media clips confirm an upcoming court date, but traders see minimal prison risk given the misdemeanor trajectory and lack of escalated charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
音量
$60,392終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that controversial looksmaxxing streamer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) avoids a prison sentence, driven by the February 2026 dismissal of his felony forgery and drug possession charges from an Arizona fake ID arrest, which had threatened up to 15 years. Subsequent Florida battery and firearm discharge cases—both reduced to misdemeanors with maximum one-year penalties—have seen no convictions, aligning with patterns where first-time influencers often receive probation or fines amid high public scrutiny. Recent social media clips confirm an upcoming court date, but traders see minimal prison risk given the misdemeanor trajectory and lack of escalated charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$60,392終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability that controversial looksmaxxing streamer Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) avoids a prison sentence, driven by the February 2026 dismissal of his felony forgery and drug possession charges from an Arizona fake ID arrest, which had threatened up to 15 years. Subsequent Florida battery and firearm discharge cases—both reduced to misdemeanors with maximum one-year penalties—have seen no convictions, aligning with patterns where first-time influencers often receive probation or fines amid high public scrutiny. Recent social media clips confirm an upcoming court date, but traders see minimal prison risk given the misdemeanor trajectory and lack of escalated charges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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