Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年CMAシングル・オブ・ザ・イヤー
2026年CMAシングル・オブ・ザ・イヤー
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー） 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト） 13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン） 10%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー） 4.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/18
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー）
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト）
13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン）
12%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー）
4%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン）
2%
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー） 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト） 13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン） 10%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー） 4.0%
新規
新規
2026/11/18
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー）
$73 Vol.
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト）
$23 Vol.
13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン）
$63 Vol.
12%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー）
$200 Vol.
4%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン）
$33 Vol.
2%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
音量
$392終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$392終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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