Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$22終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$22終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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