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icon for Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

icon for Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges, including political espionage carrying up to 20 years. An Istanbul court in May 2026 explicitly rejected release requests for İmamoğlu and co-defendants, ordering continued custody while the main corruption trial—launched with hearings in March 2026—proceeds at the Silivri complex. Multiple overlapping indictments, including one seeking cumulative sentences exceeding 2,000 years, combined with the absence of bail grants or acquittals, have sustained the detention through mid-2026. Recent anniversary protests and opposition statements have not altered court outcomes, reinforcing trader expectations that procedural and political barriers will keep İmamoğlu in custody for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,980
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges, including political espionage carrying up to 20 years. An Istanbul court in May 2026 explicitly rejected release requests for İmamoğlu and co-defendants, ordering continued custody while the main corruption trial—launched with hearings in March 2026—proceeds at the Silivri complex. Multiple overlapping indictments, including one seeking cumulative sentences exceeding 2,000 years, combined with the absence of bail grants or acquittals, have sustained the detention through mid-2026. Recent anniversary protests and opposition statements have not altered court outcomes, reinforcing trader expectations that procedural and political barriers will keep İmamoğlu in custody for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,980
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。例えば、「はい」が12¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を12%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を12%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。