Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the İBB corruption investigation, with the ongoing trial against him and over 400 co-defendants continuing through mid-2026 without his release. The Istanbul court has granted conditional release to dozens of other defendants as hearings progress—reducing those in custody to around 53—but İmamoğlu, facing charges including leading a criminal organization, bribery, and bid-rigging with potential sentences exceeding 2,000 years, has been the sole exception among key figures. Recent August 2026 hearings resumed after a recess amid courtroom disputes, while parallel cases and his August shift to a new opposition party from custody underscore persistent judicial scrutiny. Traders view the extended timeline and his central role as strong barriers to any 2026 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
6% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the İBB corruption investigation, with the ongoing trial against him and over 400 co-defendants continuing through mid-2026 without his release. The Istanbul court has granted conditional release to dozens of other defendants as hearings progress—reducing those in custody to around 53—but İmamoğlu, facing charges including leading a criminal organization, bribery, and bid-rigging with potential sentences exceeding 2,000 years, has been the sole exception among key figures. Recent August 2026 hearings resumed after a recess amid courtroom disputes, while parallel cases and his August shift to a new opposition party from custody underscore persistent judicial scrutiny. Traders view the extended timeline and his central role as strong barriers to any 2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
音量
$6,407終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the İBB corruption investigation, with the ongoing trial against him and over 400 co-defendants continuing through mid-2026 without his release. The Istanbul court has granted conditional release to dozens of other defendants as hearings progress—reducing those in custody to around 53—but İmamoğlu, facing charges including leading a criminal organization, bribery, and bid-rigging with potential sentences exceeding 2,000 years, has been the sole exception among key figures. Recent August 2026 hearings resumed after a recess amid courtroom disputes, while parallel cases and his August shift to a new opposition party from custody underscore persistent judicial scrutiny. Traders view the extended timeline and his central role as strong barriers to any 2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,407終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the İBB corruption investigation, with the ongoing trial against him and over 400 co-defendants continuing through mid-2026 without his release. The Istanbul court has granted conditional release to dozens of other defendants as hearings progress—reducing those in custody to around 53—but İmamoğlu, facing charges including leading a criminal organization, bribery, and bid-rigging with potential sentences exceeding 2,000 years, has been the sole exception among key figures. Recent August 2026 hearings resumed after a recess amid courtroom disputes, while parallel cases and his August shift to a new opposition party from custody underscore persistent judicial scrutiny. Traders view the extended timeline and his central role as strong barriers to any 2026 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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