**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges.** Turkish courts have repeatedly rejected release motions, and the central corruption trial—opened in March 2026 with more than 400 defendants—continues through adjournments without resolution as of mid-2026. Prosecutors seek sentences exceeding 2,000 years, while parallel proceedings, including a May 2026 diploma-related appeal decision, sustain custody through established judicial processes. No intervening political developments, executive actions, or court rulings have emerged to shift the detention trajectory before December 31. Traders reflect this sustained legal posture in the 88% implied probability for no release, consistent with the absence of near-term catalysts amid ongoing prosecutions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges.** Turkish courts have repeatedly rejected release motions, and the central corruption trial—opened in March 2026 with more than 400 defendants—continues through adjournments without resolution as of mid-2026. Prosecutors seek sentences exceeding 2,000 years, while parallel proceedings, including a May 2026 diploma-related appeal decision, sustain custody through established judicial processes. No intervening political developments, executive actions, or court rulings have emerged to shift the detention trajectory before December 31. Traders reflect this sustained legal posture in the 88% implied probability for no release, consistent with the absence of near-term catalysts amid ongoing prosecutions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
音量
$1,980終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges.** Turkish courts have repeatedly rejected release motions, and the central corruption trial—opened in March 2026 with more than 400 defendants—continues through adjournments without resolution as of mid-2026. Prosecutors seek sentences exceeding 2,000 years, while parallel proceedings, including a May 2026 diploma-related appeal decision, sustain custody through established judicial processes. No intervening political developments, executive actions, or court rulings have emerged to shift the detention trajectory before December 31. Traders reflect this sustained legal posture in the 88% implied probability for no release, consistent with the absence of near-term catalysts amid ongoing prosecutions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,980終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges.** Turkish courts have repeatedly rejected release motions, and the central corruption trial—opened in March 2026 with more than 400 defendants—continues through adjournments without resolution as of mid-2026. Prosecutors seek sentences exceeding 2,000 years, while parallel proceedings, including a May 2026 diploma-related appeal decision, sustain custody through established judicial processes. No intervening political developments, executive actions, or court rulings have emerged to shift the detention trajectory before December 31. Traders reflect this sustained legal posture in the 88% implied probability for no release, consistent with the absence of near-term catalysts amid ongoing prosecutions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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