Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kimi Antonelli 51%
Max Verstappen 5.0%
Nico Hulkenberg 4.3%
Fernando Alonso 4.1%
$163,089 Vol.
$163,089 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
51%
Max Verstappen
5%
Nico Hulkenberg
4%
Fernando Alonso
4%
Liam Lawson
3%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lando Norris
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Charles Leclerc
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
George Russell
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Arvid Lindblad
17%
Kimi Antonelli 51%
Max Verstappen 5.0%
Nico Hulkenberg 4.3%
Fernando Alonso 4.1%
$163,089 Vol.
$163,089 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
51%
Max Verstappen
5%
Nico Hulkenberg
4%
Fernando Alonso
4%
Liam Lawson
3%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lando Norris
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Charles Leclerc
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
George Russell
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Arvid Lindblad
17%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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