Kimi Antonelli’s dominant early-season form has driven his 73% implied probability in the F1 Action of the Year market, fueled by three consecutive pole-to-win results in the Chinese, Japanese, and Miami Grands Prix that delivered a 20-point championship lead in just his second campaign with Mercedes. Traders have priced in the teenager’s rapid adaptation to 2026 regulations and consistent front-running as the defining storyline, while Valtteri Bottas, Charles Leclerc, and Max Verstappen sit lower due to isolated recoveries or less sustained impact. Recent sprint incidents and late-race drama have highlighted the competitive depth but reinforced Antonelli’s record pace as the primary market mover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kimi Antonelli 65%
Max Verstappen 13%
Nico Hulkenberg 12.8%
Esteban Ocon 11.6%
$10,022 Vol.
$10,022 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
73%
Max Verstappen
19%
Nico Hulkenberg
13%
Esteban Ocon
12%
Franco Colapinto
11%
Carlos Sainz
8%
Alexander Albon
8%
Lance Stroll
5%
Charles Leclerc
11%
George Russell
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Pierre Gasly
12%
Sergio Perez
22%
Valtteri Bottas
19%
Liam Lawson
8%
Fernando Alonso
8%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Arvid Lindblad
8%
Oliver Bearman
7%
Isack Hadjar
12%
Kimi Antonelli 65%
Max Verstappen 13%
Nico Hulkenberg 12.8%
Esteban Ocon 11.6%
$10,022 Vol.
$10,022 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
73%
Max Verstappen
19%
Nico Hulkenberg
13%
Esteban Ocon
12%
Franco Colapinto
11%
Carlos Sainz
8%
Alexander Albon
8%
Lance Stroll
5%
Charles Leclerc
11%
George Russell
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Pierre Gasly
12%
Sergio Perez
22%
Valtteri Bottas
19%
Liam Lawson
8%
Fernando Alonso
8%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Arvid Lindblad
8%
Oliver Bearman
7%
Isack Hadjar
12%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli’s dominant early-season form has driven his 73% implied probability in the F1 Action of the Year market, fueled by three consecutive pole-to-win results in the Chinese, Japanese, and Miami Grands Prix that delivered a 20-point championship lead in just his second campaign with Mercedes. Traders have priced in the teenager’s rapid adaptation to 2026 regulations and consistent front-running as the defining storyline, while Valtteri Bottas, Charles Leclerc, and Max Verstappen sit lower due to isolated recoveries or less sustained impact. Recent sprint incidents and late-race drama have highlighted the competitive depth but reinforced Antonelli’s record pace as the primary market mover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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